Analysis of fiscal and monetary policy and its effect on Mexican stock market

The present research analyzes the relation between macroeconomic variables and their impact in stock prices in Mexico. This study uses the Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) to develop an econometric equation using nine macroeconomic variables, six of them belong to Mexico: exchange rate (Mexican peso t...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Adriana Astorga Medrano, María Alejandra Gutiérrez Chávez, Sergio Ignacio Villalba Villalba
Format: Artículo de divulgación
Language:spa
Published: Universidad Autónoma de Ciudad Juárez 2021
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Online Access:http://erevistas.uacj.mx/ojs/index.php/NovaRua/article/view/4537
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Summary:The present research analyzes the relation between macroeconomic variables and their impact in stock prices in Mexico. This study uses the Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) to develop an econometric equation using nine macroeconomic variables, six of them belong to Mexico: exchange rate (Mexican peso to US Dollar), public spending, inflation, global indicator of economic activity (IGAE), interest rate, exports; and three belonging to the United States: US gross domestic product (GDP) and interest rate, in addition to the S&P500 index. The representative periods of the model are monthly, from February 1993 to March 2020, except for the exchange rate, which is analyzed daily.
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